查询词典 forecasting theory

After Reform and opening—up democratical development of China is discussed ardently and there comesinto being some kinds of typical modes:electoral democracy theory,elite democracy theory,pluralistic democracy theory,negotiatory democracy theory,liberal democracy theory,mixed democracy theory and increment democracy theory.

改革开放30年来，随着社会主义民主的发展，学术界对中国民主发展进行了热烈讨论，形成了以下几种典型的理论模式：选举民主论、精英民主论、多元民主论、协商民主论、自由民主论、混合民主论、增量民主论。

This paper has done a deeply research on the evaluative method, which focus on maintaining and ensuring the camion. After deeply analyzing the maintain theory of army equipment and the stratagem 's characteristic and combining the current systems engineering evaluating theories and methods, it has analyzed and solved all limitations that coming forth when a single model is used to evaluate the maintain capacity. After analyzing and ameliorating the judgment of AHP's coherence, the calculation of the expert power value and the optimizing of the more-extreme judging model, a new calculation method, the multidimensional complex calculation theory, is presented, which much fits for the evaluative calculation of the camion. The new theory's feasibility and the evaluation's reliability have been proved in theory in this paper. This paper also analyses the principle and the program, which is about building a camion evaluating system. According to the multidimensional complex calculation theory, an evaluative model has been built. Applying the levels analytical method, this paper fixes on the calculation of every target's power, brings the optimization allot precept of macro spatial resource, optimizes the resource of the maintainability of theater of operations' vehicle, which offers a theory foundation for optimizing of the resource space. The research not only brings out a uniform standard for the evaluating of the maintain ability of the camion, but also presents a theory foundation and method for perfecting the camion maintain system.

本文对军用车辆维修保障能力评估的方法论进行了深入研究，在理论上通过对军事装备维修理论及战略特性的深入剖析，结合现有系统工程评估理论、评估方法的特点，分析解决了应用单一模型评估装备维修能力问题的各种缺陷，就AHP法判断矩阵一致性判定，群策专家权重值的确认及多元评判模型的优化进行了研究和改进，形成了适应军事车辆维修保障能力评估应用的新算法--多元复合算法理论，对这一创新评价理论的科学性及评估可靠性进行了理论证明和算法应用；研究分析了建立军用汽车维修保障能力评估指标体系的原则和程序，并按照多元复合算法的理论，建立了车辆维修保障能力评估模型；应用层次分析法的原理，明确了各指标权重的算法，提出了宏观空间维修资源优化分配方案，优化了战区车辆装备维修能力资源空间，为某一具体车辆装备维修能力形成所需维修资源空间的优化提供了理论依据；本文的研究既为军用车辆装备维修保障能力评估提供了统一的衡量标准，也为军事装备维修保障系统的进一步完善提供了理论依据及方法手段。

The cultural inheritance that this theory left to us was very huge and plentiful, To research this theory very clearly and overall is beyond the author"s ability , knowledge and .the article"s space , so in this paper , through elaborating on the following theories that composed the theory of speech acts -Attaching importance to the preferential status of the ordinary language philosophy A the distinction theory of language and speeclu the distinction theory of performative utterance and constative utterance , Three theories of speech acts, Three theoriesreplaced the distinction theory of performative utterance and constative utterance, the author introduced the contents, philosophy significance and contribution of this theory .

奥斯汀的言语行为理论给我们留下的文化遗产是十分巨大和丰富的，要对这一理论做全面透彻的深入细致的研究是笔者的学识、能力和篇幅所不能及的。本文通过对构成奥斯汀言语行为理论的注重日常语言的优先地位、语言与言语区分说、履行式话语与记述式话语区分说、言语行为三分说、&三分说&取代&区分说&等各个部分的阐述，介绍了奥斯汀的言语行为理论的内容并在此基础上阐述了奥斯汀言语行为理论的哲学意义及贡献。

Forecasting crack and it's distribution mode is almost equivalent to forecasting oil and gas, so it is important to correctly understand underground crack in exploratory development.

可以说对裂缝及其分布规律的预测几乎等价于对油气的预测，所以对地下裂缝的正确认识对油气的勘探开发具有重要的意义。

A ultra-short term load forecasting method based on autoregression;2. A novel method called load derivation is introduced for ultra-short term load forecasting of power system.

仿真表明了改进模型的有效性和算法的可行性，对于超短期负荷预测这类需要反应迅速的问题，采用本文提供的方法进行预测是可靠且非常有效的。

The NGBM is a novel grey forecasting model integrating GM(1,1) model with Bernoulli differential equation and is suitable to the forecasting of various developing trend curves.

该模型是将GM(1，1)模型与Bernoulli微分方程相结合的一种灰色模型，适用于对不同发展趋势曲线的预测。

Secondly, modify the forecasting value by using combinatorial forecasting method.

然后用组合预测的方法进行预测值修正。

A method of the arithmetic information forecasting, in terms of the concept of the commensurability of hydrologic disasters and their grey period extension, is proposed as a possible approach of longterm hydrologic forecasting.

基于可公度信息预测理论，初步探讨了水旱灾害事件概周期外推的数列预测方法。

The method first analyses the wave decompound traffic data, sets up support vector machine model separately on basic signals and disturbing signals of different resolving rate, then compounds several forecasting results, finally the traffic forecasting result is obtained. With examples, the result shows that the model has relatively lower error rate and quite reliable.

首先对交通量数据进行小波分解，然后分别对基本信号和不同分辨率的干扰信号建立支持向量机模型，最后对多个预测结果进行合成，从而得到交通量的预测结果，并利用实例计算显示模型具有较低的误差，证明了该方法具有很好的可靠性。

So the human resource forecasting is quite same as the forecasting of retirement and demission.

所以，人力资源预测就相当于对对人员退休、离职等情况的预测。

This paper designs the communication system of radio telescope FAST.

针对500m口径球面射电望远镜FAST分布式控制系统的特点完成了其通信系统的设计。

Political sheep's step-by-step a large number of fossils unearthed in the county soil Ma Ali after rural village in the middle of sallow pelitic siltstone.

步氏和政羊化石大量出土于广河县阿力麻土乡后山村，产于灰黄色泥质粉砂岩中。