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At last, we continue to analyze the influence which the macroeconomic growth rate has on the volatility of the stock returns. We make the macroeconomic growth rate as an exogenous variable to add to the above iterated weighted volatility model. From the above analysis, we can draw a conclusion that the volatility of the stock returns of Chinese stock markets will strengthen in economic expansion period and weaken in economic recession period.

在此分析前提下,继续深入分析宏观经济增长率对股票市场收益率波动的影响,将宏观经济增长率作为外生杠杆变量加入到上面的迭代加权最小二乘法的条件波动率模型中,结论是我国股票市场收益在经济扩张期波动性减弱,而在衰退期波动性增强。

In order to capture the volatility-clustering phenomenon of financial asset return, we use AR(1)-GARCH(1,1) model to describe the volatility of financial asset return. Then assume different residual distribution and use the GPD method of extreme value theory to residual term to estimate one-day VaR of financial asset loss.

而为了捕捉金融资产报酬所呈现出的波动丛聚现象,因此我们以AR(1)-GARCH(1,1)模型捕捉波动起伏,并考虑不同之标准化残差项分配和对标准化残差项利用极值理论GPD法去估算金融资产损失率之一日风险值。

These modes are calculated in the paper by wave equation, finite element equation and model established, and computer procedure.

本文通过推导的压力波动方程、建立的有限元方程与计算模型、编制的计算机软件,计算出燃烧压力波动的多阶模态及各模态下的压力分布。

The author suggest that the long-term stability be resulted from the"fixity"and"quasi-fixity" inputs, i.

作者提出,将传统的生产要素划分为稳定因子和波动因子对研究粮食生产的波动机制是非常必要、也是非常有效的。

The tested results show that there is an optimal magnetic flux density for depressing effect on the level fluctuation .

实验结果表明磁场对结晶器液面波动的抑制作用有一最佳值,当磁场为0.5T 时液面的平均波动最小。

A set of governing dynamic equations with different basic unknowns and with different hypotheses is presented. Thereafter, the 3-D non-axisymmetric governing dynamic equation is solved by means of Fourier expanding and Hankel integral transform method.

在Biot两相介质波动理论的基础上,直接用Fourier展开和Hankel积分变换技术分析三维非轴对称饱和弹性土层和饱和弹性半空间波动方程,首次得到用积分变换形式表示的,三维非轴对称饱和弹性土层和饱和弹性半空间,以饱和土土骨架位移和孔隙水压力为基本未知量的基本解。

Based on the theory of Economic fluctuation, we focus on the effects taken by EF to FS in our country.

本文立足经济波动理论,研究我国经济波动对金融稳定可能造成的影响。

"If you define risk as volatility," which is what most analysts do, Mr. Glassman says,"history has shown that stocks are no more volatile than bonds" over the long term.

"如果你界定的风险波动",这是什麼大多数分析家这样做,先生格拉斯曼说:"历史已经表明,股市没有更多的波动大於债券"的长远目标。

According to the boundary conditions, inhomogeneous wave equation of point source before the media changing abruptly and the homogeneous wave equation after the media changing abruptly were constructed.

根据相应的边界条件,建立了球空间时变媒质点源激励的非齐次波动方程及媒质突变后的齐次波动方程。

The finite element and Newmark methods are employed to calculate the temperature field with thermal shock, and the wave effect of heat transfer implied by the hyperbolic equation is evaluated in detail.

采用有限元离散和Newmark方法计算热冲击温度场,并总结了采用二次波动方程产生的波动效应。

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