评估系统

Four basic processes are analyzed in detail in network security decision,which are the base of NSDSS security decision. Then, developing strategies and methods are analyzed according to the objective and task of the system. Antetype method with RAD speciality is chosen to lead the developing process of the system. The structure of "Four-Base and Seven-System" of NSDSS is decided, based on which, the Function and Structure of Man-Machine Conversation system, General Management system, Data Base system, Model and Method Base system, knowledge base system, Causing and solving problems system are discussed. The basic theories and methods of each part are discussed. In the designing process of Model Base System, detailed analysis is given to the models of prediction, evaluation and management in the course of security decision. Moreover, basic process and method are discussed on question generation and solution. Then, detailed explanation is provided on the integration and implement of the system. After that, it is suggested that implement of the system should be carried through the process of the system.

论文首先对NSDSS涉及到的相关知识进行了讨论，详细分析了网络安全决策中的四个基本过程，这是NSDSS进行安全决策的基础；随后依据系统的目标和任务，对系统的开发策略和方法进行了分析，选择具有RAD能力的原型法指导整个系统的开发过程；确定了NSDSS"四库七系统"的整体结构；在此基础上，分别探讨了人机对话系统、通用管理系统、数据库系统、模型库和方法库系统、知识库系统、问题生成和求解系统的功能和结构，对各部件的基本原理和实现方法进行了论述；在模型库系统的设计过程中，对安全决策过程中运用到的安全预测、安全评估、安全管理等模型进行了详细的分析；仔细探讨了问题生成和求解的基本过程和方法；较为详细地阐述了系统集成和实施的有关问题，面向系统的成功实现，提出了将系统实施贯串于整个系统开发过程中的思想。

Therefore, the voltage/reactive power constrain is considered in the reliability evaluation. The sensitivity algorithm is applied in the adjustment of the reactive power and voltage. The contrariety of the computational effort and accuracy is solved well.

IEEE-RTS 24节点算例结果验证了本文所提出的MCMC方法应用在电力系统可靠性评估中的正确性，相比于传统的蒙特卡洛方法，MCMC方法可以显著提高计算指标的收敛速度，节省计算时间，提高计算的稳定性，并显示出在大型电力系统可靠性评估中具有很大的优越性。

Risk assessment is an integral part of the process of risk management. It provides the measurement of the system security, through assessing the threats to the existing system, system frangibility, possible capital loss and etc.

风险评估是风险管理过程的重要组成部分，它通过对被保护的系统存在的安全威胁、脆弱性以及对资产可能造成的损失进行概率统计和评估，得出系统安全性的衡量值。

The combat effectiveness evaluation was implemented by using the fuzzy synthetic evaluation and analytic hierarchy process,according to the relativity,incomparability and indefiniteness of the RIS'index system.

根据雷达情报系统性能指标的相对性、不可比性和不确定性，运用模糊综合评估方法和层次分析法对雷达情报系统作战效能进行评估，最后通过实例验证了模型的有效性。

The system schemes are selected in descending probability order. The stopping rule for the state selection is the index accuracy. The relationship between scheme selection accuracy and the forecasting time is also studied. The results show that only a small number of system schemes are required to achieve the high accuracy of the short-term reliability index. Hence, evaluation can be performed in the online environment. The proposed algorithm is applied to the IEEE-RTS.

按照概率大小进行系统状态选择，按照指标精度进行状态截止，并研究了状态截止精度随预测时间的变化关系，表明短期评估只需选择少量系统状态就能满足较高的评估精度，具备在线应用的前景，通过算例IEEE-RTS进行了验证。

Distribution system reliability evaluation is an important tache in the power system reliability evaluation.

作为电力系统可靠性评估的重要组成部分，配电系统可靠性评估具有其自身的特点。

Odum in 1980s.Adapt for a new conceptcan be transform the common standard to estimate the use of nature resource.it can beprovided warranty for the government to manage the nature. This paper adopt the Emergy analysis theory to analyze the mutative energy for Areaentironment, such as America, Yanbian, Gansu.

Odum为首于20世纪80年代创立的，应用能值这一新的科学概念和度量标准及其转换单位—能值转换率，可将生态经济系统内流动和储存的各种不同类别的能量和物质转换为同一标准的能值，进行定量分析研究，对生态系统内的自然资源的利用进行评估，并评估其发展的可持续性，从而对制定经济方针政策提供科学依据。

However, the impacts of the program on Taiwanese innovation system are understudied. The paper proposes an integrated evaluation approach to assess the national impacts as a whole. The paper illustrates the organization of evaluation that deploys four industrial panels and a following 2-wave Delphi questionnaire survey.

本文回顾研发国际化与科技评估等文献，提出了一个整合式的评估架构来评估该国家型研发计画对我国创新系统与产业研发的影响，透过四个产业专家小组的讨论，找出该计画的政策效用、冲击、过程改善与未来发展策略的重要评估议题，再经德尔菲法问卷来汇集专家对该研发计画的看法。

In recent years, with the further study of ecosystem service , the value assessment of ecosystem service is becoming more and more important. People study all kinds of service of function of ecosystems and valuating methods by different ways.

近年来，生态系统服务功能价值评估越来越受到人们的重视，人们开始从不同角度探讨生态系统的各种服务功能和定量评价方法，生态系统服务功能价值评估目前已成为该领域研究的前沿课题。

First, it diagnoses and analyses the maglev train's suspension system and traction system by applying the FTA and fuzzy FTA method. Furthermore, it presents the new way to solute the diagnosis searching arithmetic by building the searching matrix based on the factors such as components' key weightiness, faults happen probability, searching cost. Then it can get optimal searching sequence for seeking the reason to the faults. Second, it builds the train's rank evaluation model based on multiple hiberarchy neural networks, after it takes the strategy that set the component diagnosis and whole train fault rank evaluation into two steps. Third, it deeply analyses reliability of the maglev train's power system with function-correlated feature, by the method that combining the FTA with the Markov model. Finally aiming at maintenance ahead of the fault, it proposes the blue print for the maglev train's maintenance. What's more, it introduces the design and realization to recorder for the train run data in detail.

应用故障树和模糊故障树分析法对磁浮列车悬浮系统、牵引系统进行全面的诊断分析，提出了以部件关键重要度、故障概率、搜索代价为因素，建立搜索决策矩阵，综合排序的搜索算法；采取部件诊断和列车集中评估相结合的分层诊断策略，建立基于多重神经网络的列车故障等级评估模型；结合故障树和马尔可夫模型对具有功能相关特性的列车电源系统进行可靠性分析；着眼事前维修，提出了列车运行维护方案，并设计实现了列车运行数据记录器。

What are your goals and strategies for growth?

你的成长目标和策略是什么？

And unto the angel of the church in Sardis write; These things saith he that hath the seven irits of God, and the seven star I know thy works, that thou hast a name that thou livest, and art dead.

3：1 你要写信给撒狄教会的使者，说，那有神的七灵和七星的，说，我知道你的行为，按名你是活的，其实是死的。